6 Steps to Financial Freedom

  1. Increase Cashflow
  1. Earn additional income
  2. Manage Expenses
  • Manage Debt
    1. Consolidate Debt
    2. Strive to Eliminate Debt
  • Create an Emergency Fund
    1. Save for at least 3 months income
    2. Prepare for Emergency Expenses
  • Ensure Proper Protection
    1. Protect against Loss of Income
    2. Protect Family Assets
    3. Protect against Death
  • Long Term Asset Accumulation
    1. Outpace Inflation
    2. Reduce Taxation
  • Preserve Your Estate
    1. Reduce Estate Taxes
    2. Build a Family Legacy

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    A letter I wrote to a colleague this morning

    Whatever you do, pay heed and know that it is too early for real estate right now and anyone who enters “undercapitalized” will ultimately be providing someone a little more a more patience and experience such as myself with cannon fodder!!!! Hold out, grow some cash reserves, be patient, foreclosures require 100% cash payments and the good stuff will not come till late 2008 early 2009 when the banks are so squeezed for cash – which i assure you they will be – that they have to clear some debt off their books! this will include a lot of prime real estate for those capitalized and good eye to take advantage of!

    There will always be lots of skeptics and doubters in life – everyone laughed at me when i started selling my real estate in 05 – they called me stupid, naive and told me i clearly had lost the plot and no longer knew what i was doing, i must have been lucky to have built up what i did!!!! Being a visionary means being one step to five steps ahead of the market at all times! Educated guesses when right will make you very rich but even if you guess wrong so long as you bought right you get out with a profit you still have the last laugh!

    The next boom and growth opportunity will not be in real estate it will be in three main areas, Retirement planning/ wealth transfer, renewable energy to combat the rising costs and diminishing supplies of fossil fuels and Brains.

    After the recent market upheaval people are going to be so desperate to insure against running out of money (annuities) it will be crazy.

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    Published in: on December 17, 2007 at 11:39 am  Leave a Comment  

    Leasing a Car is a Dirty Dirty Business

    So I want people to be aware of every dirty trick that you will likely have played on you when leasing a car. I am recounting my personal recent experience when buying my new Hummer at Casa Automotive Group in Los Angeles…….

    1. Know the terminology of leasing, specifically the terms gross cap cost, net cap cost, cap reduction, residual, and money factor.

    I was told that the car was financed at zero % APR – a fact I was told later upon complaining to the Owner of the dealership was factually correct as the lease has a money factor applied and APR does not apply to a lease!!!

    1. Ask to see the figures on paper up front

    I kept asking for figures and the Salesman and his manager kept providing me with them verbally however as they didn’t write them down I am told I have no recourse

    1. Before you begin to negotiate, insist on disclosure of the money factor and/or lease interest rate, residual value, fees, rebates and incentives.

    They rolled in a $2000 factory rebate – however to help me out the “Threw in” optional extras such as “back up cameras and side steps at no extra cost” which were ultimately added to the lease taking up the discount of the factory rebates!!! I may be mistaken but I think I am paying $30 a month for these two “not extra cost to me options” Make sure you get the Salesman/ Dealership to write everything out for you in full

    1. Make sure your cash down payment and trade equity are properly applied as a cap reduction payment (reduces the cap cost).

    So I brought in a trade – I spoke to the salesman and let him know I was aware that I had negative equity in the car of $500-1000 – after working the figure he concurred that I did was correct and I did have a little negative equity in the car and he supported my knowledge of my cars value…. On the final paperwork I had just over $6400 of negative equity that they rolled into my monthly payments.

    1. Account for and understand all adjustments to the gross cap cost.

    In general, gross cap cost – cap reduction + capitalized fees + capitalized taxes = net cap cost. Net cap cost is used to calculate the monthly payment.

    1. Account for every penny of the cash required at signing.

    Ask the salesman to break-down this figure in writing. Typical components are first payment, security deposit, sales tax, sales tax on down payment, luxury tax, DMV fees, and acquisition fee.

    1. Always, always, always calculate the payment yourself.

    It is not hard and can be done easily with a hand calculator. If the payment on the contract does not agree with your calculations, do not sign anything.

    1. Avoid high pressure sales tactics

    My wife and I were at the dealership nearly 4 hours which was physically draining as well as disarming as we were subject to continuous reassurances etc etc. The dealership subsequently closed and the dealership was doing us a special favor in staying open to complete the transaction. Then the dealership closed increasing the pressure on us as everyone was now hanging around waiting for us!

    1. Has the Car Left the Forecourt

    We went out on the test drive of the vehicle and the dealership didn’t return the car to the lot, the parked it out front for us to transfer our items directly from our trade into our car – for our convenience and as the dealership was closing they didn’t want it locked in the lot… They later cited that the car had left the dealership and was ours and it would be illegal for them to accept it back as it was now a used vehicle!!!

    1. Car Color

    We asked for a black car, when we came to sign the papers the VIN number matched Grey car – make sure you check the VIN they are writing down on the paperwork from the actual car and model you want!

    1. Divide and Conquer

    They escorted my wife into the dealership to start signing paperwork whilst I moved items from our trade to the new car… no one mentioned where she had gone and I presumed she had sensibly gone into the warmth of the dealership out of the cold wind.

    1. Alternate Dealerships

    My wife had actually been taken to another dealership that was part of the group where the “finance director” was. Thus when I arrived the finance manager, the salesman and the branch manager had already run through the paperwork with her!

    1. Read before signing the dealership may not allow you to change your mind once you have signed even if you have not left the room.

    Make sure you read and check all documents prior to your partner signing them, unfortunately when I arrived they were signed and the dealership refused to allow us to back out of the deal as she had signed them as you guessed it the car was no longer in the dealership lot which was locked for the night as the dealership had closed.

    1. Trust your instincts.

    If something doesn’t sound or feel right about the deal then don’t do it. We wish we had just walked home and left their car there, giving us a stronger case to take to our lawyers, we were afraid the car may be vandalized or stolen which we believed could have lead to greater problems, we should have in fact asked the dealership to “store” the car for us over night

    1. Keep and eye on “YOUR” car keys

    Don’t put the keys to your car down at any time and always keep at least one, when we went to take our car and leave theirs our keys were nowhere to be found. The dealership manager had actually taken it home himself to his house over 40 miles away!!! He mentioned that he gave the car – a convertible sports car – a good thrashing on dirt roads etc and the headlights no longer worked the following day.

    1. Strong Arming

    Upon speaking with the dealership the following morning, after talking to lawyers and the better business bureau, I was informed by the dealership that I could not threaten them with a lawsuit as their lawyers were far smarter than mine and as we would never be able to win a cooling off period/ buyers remorse case.

    1. Leasing doesn’t show up as a debt liability on your credit report because it’s like renting.

    The dealer told us that by leasing we would be reducing our debt to equity ratio, improving our credit score. However leasing shows up on your credit report as a debt obligation just like a loan. If you are late making payments, your credit is damaged, just like with a loan.

    1. The best way to acquire a new car is to lease first and then purchase the car at lease-end.

    This is false. Although leasing offers lower payments and may allow you to drive more car initially than you might otherwise be able to afford, buying that car at lease-end adds additional cost and makes the total cost of the lease-then-buy scenario greater than if you had simply purchased the car at the beginning. Of course, if the convenience of having low initial payments is worth the extra cost to you, then that’s your decision. Just don’t let a dealer convince you that the extra cost doesn’t exist.

    1. Early Termination of the Car Lease

    Whilst the dealer and finance manager assured us there was no early repayment penalty should we choose to make a larger than usual/ lump sum payment against the lease, this proved to be untrue. There are fees involved in the early termination of a lease, fees for which you will be responsible to pay. Early termination can be involuntary as well. If the vehicle is stolen and not recovered, or totaled in an accident, the lease is forced to end. Very often your insurance reimbursement will not cover the entire balance due on the lease. Therefore you pay the rest. However, many leasing companies offer gap insurance, which provides you financial protection in such an event. We were told that we had GAP insurance included for free yet can find no mention of it anywhere in any of our documentation.

    Also, when paying a car lease, you are paying for the depreciation plus interest. The depreciation is calculated as the difference between the cap cost and the residual value. While the depreciation is paid off evenly over the lease term, the depreciation of a car is not linear. The difference in the actual depreciation and the paid depreciation is known as the gap amount, and will also be paid in a prematurely terminated lease.

    Additionally, some leasing companies will require you to pay off the remainder of the car lease contract before releasing you from the lease. Others will require a flat rate termination fee. Make sure you read all the fine print before signing your lease contract.

    1. Accidents may trigger early termination:

    Your lease is “terminated,” and you’re obligated to pay off the lease. Insurance covers damages, but not lease payoff – I was assured by the dealership that my lease includes GAP cover that will make up the difference between insurance payoff and the loan amount, however with the dealership having rolled up so much negative equity into the car, I am highly suspicious that this will be the case!

    1. False Gestures of Good Will

    The Dealership has very generously volunteered to give us our car back on a loan agreement for the next 2 weeks for us to sell privately to reduce the negative equity we had in our car. We do not however know what consequences this will have on our lease nor were they willing to explain them other than that they would be willing to write a new lease if we sold the car. They also meanwhile also informed us that the payoff amount may go up as the payoff date would expire during the 14 days they gave us as it was only good for 11 days and they take 10 to make payment!

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    Impending Disaster for GM and GMAC

    As 2005 drew to a close I predicted it was the height of the Real Estate bubble, in May 2007 I predicted Countrywide Financials (CFC) impending sub prime implosion. In July I started to forecast the Real Estate/ Subprime/ Conduit effect and now I make my prediction for 2008 – the companies to watch, are

    GM & GMAC

    These companies stock will in my estimation drop a minimum of 60% during 08 – I am expecting to see a $10-$13 GM share price during 2008. I am further expecting to see their Bonds drop down to a B- or junk bond rating. GMAC will probably enter single digits and also have their bonds downgraded to B- or junk status

    Where am I getting my forecast from???

    Okay – GM and GMAC are ultimately the true kings of subprime debt, with cars that no one wants they have become an money lending business, however unlike any sensible money lending business loaning money to people who cant afford to pay (loan sharks – see article on credit card companies, the modern day loan sharks) they are offering money at rates that would make a Japanese bank wince! Further more when they sell a car, they take a depreciating asset, throw in a hint of negative equity from a prior car, an artificially inflated resale value and voila you have a 50-60 unsecured loan, not at 19-39% APR like a credit card, but at 4.2%, scarcely outpacing inflation. Now add a past history of employ pensions (read gray bomb article) and you have a company with all the liquidity of Countrywide Financial!!! (Read impending doom article)

    Work on the premise that should I make this story better – who will be affected by this implosion, non less than the beloved Cerberus group of Chrysler fame and their illegitimate father Citigroup…… starting to sound like a familiar chronicle…….

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    Published in: on December 10, 2007 at 10:31 pm  Leave a Comment  

    The Power Of Web 2.0 – And the Myth of Google and FaceBook

    The more time i spend delving into all that is web 2.0 and the more closer we get to the Launch of the the Brain Make Over Beta Site, the more perplexed i become by certain factors.

    Firstly, we live in an age where Google (goog) is quoted at some $681 at time of writing which gives the company a valuation of approximately $213Bn. This is for a company that if my memory serves me correctly has about $11Bn of revenue and $4Bn profit.
    Do I use google every day, resoundingly YES,
    Do i think that Google has a fantastic search algorithm, again YES,
    Do i believe that the company is worth 20 times its revenue and more than 50 times its profit, one second, did i just say 50 times their profit…something must be wrong with my calculator, maybe i have time warped back to 1999 and we are pre millennium and euphoric with Greenspans low interest rates!!!

    Do you guys that own google stock realise that even if Google gets the 700mhz cycle and enters the cell phone market and even if they build solar plants and land a man on Mars, the potential earnings growth for the next decade has already been accounted for …. so here is my question…… Larry Page, Sergey Brin and Eric Schmidt are all bright and talented boys….so why do they own stock. If i was them, which obviously i am not, I would sell my stock and by someone like Microsoft who has a market cap of about 30% more 307Bn but has over $12Bn in profits on $50Bn+ of revenues. Lets throw in that this company fits the dynamics of both a Growth and an Income stock.

    The second question is that of FaceBook, again valued at somewhere in the $10-15Bn range with revenue of less than $300m. This is another disruptive technology (I believe it is disrupting email as a more fluid and fulfilling interaction if i am to understand the hype correctly.) Like Skype this is all great but where is the revenue stream, the market is captive (which means they will surely leave given enough time) and it really serves little or no useful purpose!!! Did i just say that out loud, blasphemy. But in reality, there is a novelty in finding people i had long forgotten about and would have had no way of getting in touch with. However did i really want too, will i be able to strike up a stirring friendship and get something meaningful outr of the relationship.

    So they counteracted this with a genius like devilishly cunning move (similar to the Fed increasing the Discount window to save the banks in August) of creating applications and opening up their platform. But Google copied the rapidly with a far larger network and there is still that huge issue of stick ability! Does anyone really stay on the site that long. You want to check what you friends are doing now, ok cool, i am gone see ya!!!!

    So where does this all leave us, Web 2.0 the new internet will in my opinion soon cede itself to Web 3.0 which for me is interactive application based internet usage. whilst currently available i am talking about the web as a medium for absolute harmonization and integration of all facets of life…….. Big, Bold and Brash maybe ….. or some would already say we are there ……. I will continue further when i explain the concept of Brain Make Over within the next month, so hold that thought.

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    Credit Cards and The Growing Consumer Debt Epidemic

    Household debt has now exceeded the national debt of the USA – what does this mean, this means that the people who live in America, you and me, owe more money to companies (particularly banks) than the entire government does to other countries!!!!

    This figure is incredible but how has debt spiraled so far out of control. The average American family owes more than $16,000 on credit cards, many only making minimum payments. With some credit cards charging exorbitant “loan shark” style interest of 39%, late payment fees, partial payment fees etc etc credit card companies are able to double their money annually! This is quite possibly the most rewarding part of thew whole financial system for banks. The majority of hedge funds do not produce mid to high double digit returns – for mainline banks this is a n incredible pipeline that they will continue to milk until America wakes up.

    Minimum payments (around 4% on average) will require 15 or more years to pay off if no further charges are made to the card. This is with a more normal 19.98% apr.

    With the Universal Default Clause your credit card company can change your interest at any time for almost any reason, your debt is too high with another company, you were late on your mortgage payment etc etc. This is one of the scariest and most open ended, open to abuse clauses in the American legal system as it exposes more than 1 billion card holders, yep 300 million Americans with an average of 3 cards each, to the whim of the card company. Should you choose to retaliate in any fashion they deem unfit to this injustice, there goes your FICO score.

    Meanwhile whilst on the topic of FICO scores, this number has become more critical than ever before as now it holds the key to how high your charges on your mortgage will be. Fannie May et al will be charging higher fees and possibly require higher down payments from “sub prime” borrowers. This means anyone with a 680 or less is going to be dinged – i believe on a sliding scale.

    Credit Cards and American Consumer Debt

    Household debt has now exceeded the national debt of the USA – what does this mean, this means that the people who live in America, you and me, owe more money to companies (particularly banks) than the entire government does to other countries!!!!

    This figure is incredible but how has debt spiralled so far out of control. The average American family owes more than $16,000 on credit cards, many only making minimum payments. With some credit cards charging exorbitant “loan shark” style interest of 39%, late payment fees, partial payment fees etc etc credit card companies are able to double their money annually! This is quite possibly the most rewarding part of thew whole financial system for banks. The majority of hedge funds do not produce mid to high double digit returns – for mainline banks this is a n incredible pipeline that they will continue to milk until America wakes up.

    Minimum payments (around 4% on average) will require 15 or more years to pay off if no further charges are made to the card. This is with a more normal 19.98% apr.

    With the Universal Default Clause your credit card company can change your interest at any time for almost any reason, your debt is too high with another company, you were late on your mortgage payment etc etc. This is one of the scariest and most open ended, open to abuse clauses in the American legal system as it exposes more than 1 billion card holders, yep 300
    million Americans with an average of 3 cards each, to the whim of the card company. Should you choose to retaliate in any fashion they deem unfit to this injustice, there goes your FICO score.

    Meanwhile whilst on the topic of FICO scores, this number has become more critical than ever before as now it holds the key to how high your charges on your mortgage will be. Fannie May et al will be charging higher fees and possibly require higher down payments from “sub prime” borrowers. This means anyone with a 680 or less is going to be dinged – i believe on a sliding scale.

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    Is your VOIP call being recorded

    It has been generally well known and accepted for years now that our governments listen in on our phone calls, triggered by certain keywords. It used to be the the British tapped the American public and vice versa, until the patriot act pretty much allowed the US government a free hand.

    It is now emerging that it would be possible to tap VOIP calls and you can bet your bottom dollar that if the government isn’t already doing this they will be soon!

    As mentioned in the article this will also be a potential boon for those criminally minded as well.

    So remember, when talking on “ANY” type of phone – be careful what you say, someone may be listening!

    To hear what they have been doing as a proof of concept on this have a look and listen at the following website http://siptap.voipcode.org/

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    Published in: on November 24, 2007 at 12:10 pm  Leave a Comment  

    Is your VOIP call being recorded

    It has been generally well known and accepted for years now that our governments listen in on our phone calls, triggered by certain keywords. It used to be the the British tapped the American public and vice versa, until the patriot act pretty much allowed the US government a free hand.

    It is now emerging that it would be possible to tap VOIP calls and you can bet your bottom dollar that if the government isn’t already doing this they will be soon!

    As mentioned in the article this will also be a potential boon for those criminally minded as well.

    So remember, when talking on “ANY” type of phone – be careful what you say, someone may be listening!

    To hear what they have been doing as a proof of concept on this have a look and listen at the following website http://siptap.voipcode.org/

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    We have survived the Cold War and Nuclear threat, but will we survive the Gray Bomb, the most dangerous threat to the USA

    The world stands at the edge of a cataclysmic financial abyss, and no i am not talking about the current housing and liquidity crisis, i am talking of something a little further away and somewhat grayer (excuse the pun). Although the drop to 12800 is 1200 off the high, nearly 10% as i predicted back in August (month off due too Bernankes pointless meddling)

    The financial and social timebomb is the graying population of the industrialized world. I have coined the phrase the “Gray Bomb” to categorize this impending threat.

    We live longer, live better, consume more and expend more. If you sit down and read the social security/ welfare document sent each year to every tax paying American, you will also see that the US welfare system is budgeting to run out of money within the next 20-30 years!

    Yes

    You heard me

    Thats correct, they “admit” quite openly that their coffers will have run dry and they will not be able to provide for anyone properly after that time, without a drastic increase in taxes (probably to a scandanavian style 60+%) Why is this, because the Baby Boomer’s will mature, the first of them passed 59 1/2 in 2005 and thus over the next 10-15 years there will be more people claiming social security pensions than people working and paying into the system, creating an insurmountable deficit.

    What do i propose or advocate as a solution, don’t just throw stones i hear you cry, give us a solution! I hope to provide suggestions that will spark open debate and could ultimately lead to some kind of resolution.

    So lets try this, Romania “i believe” recently told its populace they would not be paying for their retirement, people had to plan for it themselves! I think that the social security system is somewhat archaic and grotesquely mismanaged and rather that continue it, make everyone more that 25 years out responsible for their own retirements!!! These people must take financial responsibility and accountability now and start saving.

    Several things that need to happen to help society survive;

    The government find ways to become more financially efficient and stop or even reverse inflation.

    reduce dependency on oil as it is a finite supply and prices will continue to rise even on the exaggeration on the speed of reduction of this decreasing supply. Like Diamonds, it isnt as scarce as prices would indicate, but neither is its supply going to last out our lifetimes!

    My solution will have several consequences, many of which i think are inevitable either way, that will be interesting;

    The first being that as a collective generation, those that come after the baby boomers will probably be poorer than their parents!

    The second that property values will fall significantly as more housing stock is returned to the open market with less inhabitants!

    Immigration will increase from countries such as China and India that will become overly populous and lower more affordable prices will draw people in. These countries will ultimately come to resemble Japan and Tokyo in terms of density and expense.

    Our generation will have significantly fewer children than our parents as we will simply not be able to afford them.

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